Wednesday, November 5, 2008

The Senate

We don't know the outcome of all 35 races yet, but it seems increasingly unlikely that the Democrats can reach a total of 60 Senate seats, which would, theoretically, make the Senate "filibuster-proof". Fox is so far the only network to project Republican incumbents Chambliss of Georgia and Coleman of Minnesota as winners. The Democrats would need to win in both of those states, and also to overcome a tiny Republican lead in Oregon, and a somewhat more substantial Republican lead in Alaska (more on Alaska, later on), in order to reach 60.

The raw vote shows Chambliss ahead by 50% to 46%, with 99% of the vote in. The reluctance of the other networks to call him the winner is seemingly based on a 2000-Florida-induced excess of caution.

The Democrats seem likely to end up within the range of 56 to 58 Senate seats.

No comments: