Friday, October 3, 2008

Presidential Election -- West Virginia

Electoral votes: 5

2004 result: Bush 56%, Kerry 43%

2000 result: Bush 52%, Gore 46%

Most recent Democratic win (1996): Clinton 52%, Dole 37%, Perot 11%

African American percentage: 3.3% (national average is 12.8%)

Link to polls in Real Clear Politics

West Virginia has made an interesting switch. It used to be so staunchly Democratic that, in 1980, when Jimmy Carter mustered only 49 electoral votes against Ronald Reagan, six of those votes came from West Virginia.

But, as noted above, Bush carried the state both times. One theory is that the Democrats' renewed interest in environmental issues, led by Al Gore, scared away West Virginians who are economically dependent on coal mining.

McCain leads in the polls, but his lead is not large enough to say that the race is over.

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