Monday, September 8, 2008

Presidential Election -- Alabama

Electoral votes: 9

2004 result: Bush 62%, Kerry 37%

2000 result: Bush 56%, Gore 42%

Most recent Democratic win (1976): Carter 56%, Ford 43%

African American percentage: 26.3% (national average is 12.8%)

Link to polls in Real Clear Politics

Polls show leads of 13-32% for McCain. This is one of those states I mentioned earlier, where a huge increase in African American turnout could help Obama. But, so far, it looks secure for McCain. If Obama could somehow carry Alabama, it would point toward a Democratic landslide.

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