Friday, September 12, 2008

Presidential Election -- Illinois

Electoral votes: 21

2004 result: Kerry 55%, Bush 44%

2000 result: Gore 55%, Bush 43%

Most recent Republican win (1988): Bush 51%, Dukakis 49%

African American percentage: 15.0% (national average is 12.8%)

Link to polls in Real Clear Politics

The analysis is similar to that for Obama's native state of Hawaii. Illinois has usually voted Democratic in recent years and, in light of the fact that it's Obama's political base, that trend seems likely only to intensify. A big 21 electoral votes for its junior senator.

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