Sunday, September 21, 2008

Presidential Election -- New Jersey

Electoral votes: 15

2004 result: Kerry 53%, Bush 46%

2000 result: Gore 56%, Bush 40%

Most recent Republican win (1988): Bush 56%, Dukakis 43%

African American percentage: 14.5% (national average is 12.8%)

Link to polls in Real Clear Politics

Those polls show a wide range, from a three-point Obama lead to a 13-point Obama lead. New Jersey is clearly leaning in Obama's direction, but McCain can't be totally counted out.

New Jersey is a typical northeastern state in the sense of having formerly been a Republican bastion, but having turned more Democratic as the Republicans have become a more Sun Belt oriented party.

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