Electoral votes: 6
2004 result: Bush 54%, Kerry 45%
2000 result: Bush 51%, Gore 46%
Most recent Democratic win (1996): Clinton 54%, Dole 37%, Perot 8%
African American percentage: 15.7% (national average is 12.8%)
Link to polls in Real Clear Politics
Favorite-son Clinton was the only Democratic nominee to carry Arkansas, since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Polls show 13-20% leads for McCain. The black population is above average, but smaller than that in other southern states. This one looks solid for McCain.