Friday, September 26, 2008

Presidential Election -- South Carolina

Electoral votes: 8

2004 result: Bush 58%, Kerry 41%

2000 result: Bush 57%, Gore 41%

Most recent Democratic win (1976): Carter 56%, Ford 43%

African American percentage: 29.0% (national average is 12.8%)

Link to polls in Real Clear Politics

McCain leads in the polls, but by at little as six points in a recent one. Obama presumably needs to induce a large increase in black voter turnout, in order to end the recent streak of Republican victories in South Carolina. That will be difficult, but not impossible.

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