Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Presidential Election -- Colorado

Electoral votes: 9

2004 result: Bush 52%, Kerry 47%

2000 result: Bush 51%, Gore 42%

Most recent Democratic win (1992): Clinton 40%, Bush 36%, Perot 23%

African American percentage: 4.1% (national average is 12.8%)

Link to polls in Real Clear Politics

Polls show a very close race, with a slight edge overall to Obama, but within the margin of error.

Some commentators have speculated that, seemingly paradoxically, Obama might do well, both in states with the higher African American populations, and also in some with very low percentages of black residents. In the former, because of expectations for record-high African American turnout, and in the latter, because they lack some of the racial animosity of states with more racial balance. If he wins Colorado, it will, of course, be in that second category.

But, as of now, Colorado is a toss-up.

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