Monday, September 22, 2008

Presidential Election -- North Carolina

Electoral votes: 15

2004 result: Bush 56%, Kerry 44%

2000 result: Bush 56%, Gore 43%

Most recent Democratic win (1976): Carter 55%, Ford 44%

African American percentage: 21.7% (national average is 12.8%)

Link to polls in Real Clear Politics

For some reason, the North Carolina polls are all over the place. But McCain has a bit of an edge, in his attempt to maintain the steak of Republican victories there.

Obama is said to have an opportunity in North Carolina. The state, as other southern states do, has an above-average African American population. On the other hand, it does not share the degree of innate conservatism that is found in the Deep South. Obama has a chance, but the polls, so far at least, are not in his favor.

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